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Market Analysis

The Euro drops to its lowest since July as the Dollar keeps climbing

About 80% of the Euro's August rally is gone. EUR/USD climbed from near 1.1350 at the end of July to just above 1.1700 in the second half of August, and on Tuesday it dipped under 1.1450 to its lowest since late July be…

7 min read

Bitcoin’s Rally Above $87,000 Faces Fresh Tests: Bitfinex Alpha

Bitcoin (BTC) slipped toward $85,000 on Tuesday after briefly climbing above $87,000, putting its latest recovery under pressure. The move came after a sharp rebound from last week’s low near $75,000, when BTC fell belo…

2 min read

Stocks Supported as Crude Oil Prices Ease

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX) (SPY) is up by +0.09% today, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DOWI) (DIA) is down by -0.13%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX) (QQQ) is up +0.52%. December E-mini S&P futures (ESZ26) are up +0.…

6 min read

Asia FX: AI-driven support for regional currencies – MUFG

MUFG’s Michael Wan notes that improved risk sentiment and AI optimism around Meta’s Muse supported a slightly stronger Dollar and stable DM yields. He argues that Asia FX and rates could benefit from continued infrastru…

1 min read

Dollar Climbs on Hawkish Fed President Collins

The dollar index (DXY00) climbed to a 7-week high today and is up by +0.10%. The dollar found support today on hawkish comments from Boston Fed President Susan Collins, who said she saw inflation remaining above 2%, sug…

4 min read

Trump signals diplomatic push on Ukraine and Iran as diesel ban looms

US President Donald Trump is figuring out a solution to end the war between Russia and Ukraine, after meeting with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy. Furthermore, he added that Russian President Vladimir Putin is …

2 min read

Oil Crisis Is Spreading From Crude Prices to the Cost of Moving It

Crude oil has retreated sharply from wartime peaks, yet diesel, gasoline, jet fuel, and other refined-product markets are still pricing thin inventories, constrained conversion capacity, strong export pull, and regional…

26 min read

US Dollar Index pushes higher on the case for another Fed increase

The Dollar Index trades near 100.70, its highest level since late July. It has climbed through five straight sessions of falling Crude Oil, the opposite of how the war has moved it for most of this year. The Fed is the …

7 min read

Fed’s Barkin backs rate hike, stays unsure on more increases

Richmond Federal Reserve (Fed) President Thomas Barkin said on Tuesday that the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decided to raise interest rates last Wednesday because inflation risks outweighed those to maximum emp…

2 min read

Arthur Hayes Says AI Glut Could Lower Compute Costs and Boost Crypto

Arthur Hayes has argued that the “Safety First” pause on AI development being pushed by Anthropic, OpenAI, and SpaceX has less to do with concern for humanity and more to do with weak demand for AI products at current p…

2 min read